Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.120815 0.133600 0.146725 0.161175 0.176610 0.192574 0.210304
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.105338 0.125225 0.146652 0.171323 0.198811 0.228368 0.262418
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.093777 0.118790 0.146889 0.180467 0.219173 0.262073 0.312892
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.080826 0.108730 0.141316 0.181583 0.229407 0.283809 0.349777
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.068387 0.097605 0.133029 0.178206 0.233348 0.297558 0.377036
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.062710 0.094022 0.133168 0.184367 0.248211 0.323899 0.419054
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.057168 0.089906 0.132055 0.188496 0.260276 0.346761 0.457013
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.051831 0.085446 0.129980 0.190969 0.269975 0.366604 0.491361
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.046640 0.080627 0.126949 0.191791 0.277283 0.383337 0.521897
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.046206 0.082494 0.132904 0.204492 0.299971 0.419500 0.576853
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.042621 0.079364 0.131676 0.207343 0.309731 0.439374 0.611649
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.039807 0.077118 0.131468 0.211415 0.321015 0.461206 0.649056
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.035874 0.072989 0.128585 0.212029 0.328208 0.478595 0.682066
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.034775 0.073352 0.132326 0.222125 0.348523 0.513512 0.738244
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.033723 0.073686 0.135988 0.232170 0.368957 0.548907 0.795559
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.030617 0.070189 0.133532 0.233119 0.376675 0.567459 0.831082
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026700 0.064835 0.127809 0.228926 0.376955 0.575955 0.853437
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.025552 0.064387 0.129797 0.236216 0.393496 0.606421 0.904960
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.024024 0.063060 0.130245 0.241111 0.406635 0.632395 0.950771
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.022260 0.061089 0.129481 0.244045 0.416921 0.654539 0.991660
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.020313 0.058528 0.127545 0.245019 0.424282 0.672681 1.027306
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.020836 0.061106 0.134492 0.260111 0.452562 0.719992 1.102621
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.019450 0.059513 0.134100 0.263492 0.463567 0.743437 1.145900